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    Stocks are bought on expectations, not facts.

Welcome back, said the Dow.

Dow just welcomed me back last night. It closed green with 125 points. Just last night, I said, "Galit kami ni Dow dahil sinira nya bull flag ng EEI ko." It seems the Dow doesn't want to get on my bad side so lo and behold, it closed higher! (Haha!) I found a rather interesting intraday (5-minute chart) pattern on the Dow. 


See that? An inverse head and shoulder! Clear breakout during the last few minutes of trading. Just take note though, since this is an intraday pattern and not seen in the daily chart, it is not a very strong pattern. So, let's check the daily chart. Although the intraday inverse H&S is not seen, we have a clear bounce off its support. 


I believe these point to a possible rally in the next couple of trading days. Of course, these are very short-term analyses. We are still not out of the woods. We have yet to determine if this bounce that should occur soon is of the dead cat variety or if it is the continuation of the uptrend. Should these bullish signals we found on the intraday and daily charts fail, be scared! See the part I encircled in the first chart? That's a failed double bottom. We saw the Dow take a nose dive after this failed pattern. The inverse H&S is a bigger pattern so a bigger correction should ensue upon failure. Daily chart would suggest a break below support in this scenario. 


13 comments:

Anonymous said...

Ako naman I am looking at a head and shoulder top in the works for Dow daily chart. Left shoulder 10729 Jan 2010, head 11258 April. Pagulo sa picture mid-may rally to 10920.

I hope 118 has the deep pocket to push EEI to 4.00 or thereabouts.

Melvin

Christina Hunt said...

The correction that time was too fast so a technical rally was natural. Pero, ung effect tuloy failed bull flag. Ayun na ung signal eh. Failed bullish pattern is bearish... Hay. Haha!

There is still the div on Jun1. Maybe EEI can still push forward. Malayo pa naman un. Kaya pa! :P

Christina Hunt said...

Melvin, I noticed Strategic Equities (192) has a bigger buying volume during the past two weeks than 118. Total buying of 12M shares while 118 only had half of that. Ave cost nya mga 3.4. This is someone to watch in case magreverse cya. Unless done through.. Haha! Sana 118 will play catch up and buy some more! :))

Anonymous said...

Short SCC tomorrow...buyback on wednesday...Sure Quick play

Christina Hunt said...

Bakit, what's with SCC? Why do you expect that it will go down tomorrow?

Anonymous said...

sold short 77-78...buyback @ 72-71 to cover short by wednesday or thursday...

Anonymous said...

you will gain 6-8 pesos per share......

Anonymous said...

float this idea to your very close friends(asap)....

Christina Hunt said...

Overnight short? Not my kind of play... Illiquid pa minsan ang SCC and treading an all time high. I'm not so convinced that SCC will drop. Care to provide a story behind this? I appreciate the tip but I still need a rationale behind it whether fundamental or technical. :)

Anonymous said...

Its fun to be right about SCC...We started shorting it last week...

Anonymous said...

Since April we started shorting Atlas & Philex Mining..

Anonymous said...

After Mining Stocks will Short POWER/Energy Stocks...Avoid Megaworld.....

Christina Hunt said...

As for SCC, today pala yung 6 peso div. No wonder.
AP and AEV yung parabolic spike. When thus corrects, it's gonna be like Meralco.

What's with Megaworld?

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